Análisis parabólico de la prevalencia al consumo de cannabis

Abstract

Objective: To represent the prevalence of cannabis use per gram in weed and to establish scenarios through parabolas. Methodology: The proposal uses data contained in the "World Drug Report 2018: Opioid Crisis, drug abuse and record levels of opium and cocaine" from June 2018. The information shows great variations in a market with prevalent illegality which limits the use of conventional models but establishes an opportunity to propose alternatives such as parabolas. Results: The results show that it is possible to establish scenarios with higher and lower volatility using parabolas. Conclusions: the scenarios for 2026 based on the population between 15 and 64 years old indicate that in Africa the prevalence rate of consumption would be between 5.67% and 12.99%, in America it would be between 8.06% and 9.63%, in Asia it would be between 1.66% and 2.77%, in Europe it would be 5.8% and 6.03% and in Oceania it would be between 8.57% and 14.59%.

Keywords

cannabis

consumption prevalence

parabolas

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